DHS Warns of Post-Pandemic Migrant Surges

When the Department of Homeland Security (DHS) issued its “Homeland Threat Assessment“on October 6, most attention was paid to the Department’s conclusion that “white supremacy” is the most dangerous threat to American security. Leaving aside the validity of that position, when we look further at the Assessment we find the DHS has noted some other threats as well.

Image from “Homeland Threat Assessment,” October 2020

Todd Bensman, writing October 13 on the Center for Immigration Studies (CIS) website, describes some of those other threats. After the Wuhan pandemic has subsided, the authors predict that we may see “another swamping mass-migration crisis at the southwest border.” Bensman quotes from page 25 of the DHS document:

Since 2014, DHS has experienced repeated illegal immigration surges at the Southwest Border. DHS anticipates that the number of apprehensions at the border will significantly climb post-pandemic, with the potential for another surge as those who were previously prevented from seeking entry into the United States arrive at the border and as poor economic conditions around the world fuel migration. This high volume of illegal immigration, including unprecedented numbers of family units and unaccompanied alien children arrivals, stretch government resources, and create a humanitarian and border security crisis that cripples the immigration system.

Bensman also notes a warning from the Assessment’s authors of “unspecified national security ‘threat actors'” from outside the Western Hemisphere. By “threat actors,” the authors mean terrorists.

Finally, the Assessment hints at a third factor, most likely in anticipation of Democratic gains in the November elections. That factor is the “[changing] perceptions of U.S. and Mexican immigration and enforcement policies.” According to Bensman, those words reference “the coming election where the likely outcome is a rise in Democratic Party power over immigration policy that would be viewed by aspiring migrants around the world as a green light to largely unimpeded passage over the southern border.”

When combined, these factors–post-pandemic border easing, terrorism, and anticipation of friendlier governmental policies–are predicted to cause a new surge at the border next year.  This may “once again swamp U.S. Citizenship and Immigration Services (USCIS)” and”exacerbate an already vast backlog of cases, which . . . in the past resulted in mass releases of border-crossing strangers, criminals among them.”

Scare headlines about “white supremacy” run amok are topical and non-controversial these days, but other dangers lurk in our future, dangers we overlook at our peril.

For more, see CIS.org.



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