Feb 16

Current Immigration Is a Net Loss

More Misinformation from the Media:

For [Trump’s] plan, at the scale he promises, would shrink the American economy and impoverish the world. If greatness is what he purses, a straightforward way to bulk up the economy . . . would be to allow many more immigrants in. . . .

Consider the report on immigration released last fall by the National Academies of Science, Engineering and Medicine. I concluded that immigration to the United States from 1990 to 2010, both legal and illegal, produced net benefits worth $50 billion a year to the native population. . . . This might seem insignificant in an $18 trillion economy. But it packs more than what meets the eye. . . . Immigrants are slowing the aging of the workforce. . . . High-skilled immigrants contribute disproportionately to innovation, seeking patents at a higher rate than natives. – How to Make America Greater: More Immigration, Eduardo Porter, The New York Times, Eduardo Porter, 2/7/17.

Fact Check: This study did find a net benefit of immigration to the native-born American population, a total of $54.2 billion. But this benefit mainly went to the better-off segment of Americans, in effect making them richer, and it came at the cost of making less-well-off citizens poorer. It works this way: Lowered wages as the result of immigration cost working Americans $493.9 billion a year. But those lower wages provide an economic windfall for businesses totaling $548.1 billion. The difference between the two figures is the net of $54.2 billion. This is a questionable gain considering the liabilities it entails.

And the liabilities don’t stop there. The study found that immigration is causing a significant fiscal loss. Immigrants in general consume a good bit more in services than they pay in taxes. The study said this total net loss could be as high as $299 billion—which far overshadows the alleged net gain of $54.2 billion a year. The report does raise the possibility that over the next 75 years immigrants and their descendants will pay as much as they take. But as one commentator observes, this is nothing more than “assumption-driven speculation.” Without a doubt, immigrants will cause a fiscal deficit for many years to come.

With respect to slowing the aging of our population, current immigration is having an effect, but not enough to make any significant difference. In 2010, 66.6 percent of our population was of working age. If we had cut all immigration that year, that percentage by 2050 would have declined to 59.2 percent. But with our current policy of immigration remaining in effect, the total would only be 60.3 percent.

The outcome would be different if our policy specifically selected for young people, but the current policy selects for other criteria such as family ties, diversity, and lastly—far down the list—various skills. All of these categories have strong constituencies, and it’s unlikely they would all yield to a policy largely based on age.

As for skilled immigrants “seeking patents at a higher rate than immigrants,” one should note again that the great majority of legal immigrants are not selected on the basis of skills. Therefore, immigration could be cut sharply without impacting this category. In any case, it is by no means clear that immigrants, skilled or not, are much more likely to innovate and secure patents.

Despite Porter’s recommendation, increasing our already record sustained-level of mass immigration is absolutely the last thing we need to regain national greatness. It might “bulk up” the economy of America’s economic and political elites, but the rest of us will pay a price for their prosperity.

Permanent link to this article: http://www.aicfoundation.com/current-immigration-is-a-net-loss/

Feb 16

Media Myths about Immigration

Migration advocates have a stable of myths they commonly repeat, and because their numerous friends in the media repeat them too, the general public tends to believe these false claims. AIC Foundation posts a weekly “fact checker” to refute these and other media-induced myths.

Myth 1: Immigration Can Save Social Security and Medicare
Immigration advocates claim that immigration will significantly lower our average age, thereby providing an adequate number of young workers to support those retirement programs.
It is true that the present level and character of immigration will raise the percentage of working-age people (16 to 65) over time, but the increase will be negligible—far too small to make meaningful contributions to Social Security and Medicare. To illustrate, in 2010, 66.6 percent of our population was working-age. By 2050, that total, without any immigration, would drop to 59.2 percent. With current high immigration levels, it would only rise to 60.3 percent.

The percentage would be higher if we had an immigration policy that specifically selected for young immigrants, but such a goal would conflict with existing priorities for immigrants, including family ties and diversity. Given the constituencies for these categories, it seems unlikely that an overall age preference could be enacted.

Current immigration policy will not make us much younger, but it will make us a lot more numerous—to the extent of 80 million more people in the next 33 years. This rapid surge of population will place considerable stress on our finances, infrastructure, and environment. The attendant growth in diversity will strain national unity. Social Security won’t gain from it, but social insecurity just might. Source: Steven Camarota, 2012 “Projecting Immigration’s Impact on the Size and Age of the 21st Century Population,” Center for Immigration Studies.

Myth 2: We Need Immigrants Because of a Worker Shortage
If we truly had a shortage of workers, some key statistics would reflect it, but they don’t. One example is wage levels. Since 1970—when mass immigration began to take off—U.S. wage levels in constant dollars have stagnated, even as our productivity has increased. Also, if we truly had a labor shortage, the percentage of the working-age people in the workforce (18 to 65) would be increasing. In terms of numbers, there were 48.1 million working age-natives not working in 2015.

A further point to consider with respect to the labor shortage claim is that we are now entering an age of greatly increasing automation. According to a study done at Oxford University, almost half the jobs now being done by people in the U.S. will be automated within the next twenty years. In this situation, claims of a labor shortage will be even harder to sell than now. Sources: “A Decade of Flat Wages: The Key Barrier to Shared Prosperity and a Rising Middle Class,” 2013 Economic Policy Institute; Public use file of the Current Population from the second quarter of 2000 and 2015; MIT Technology Review, Report Suggests Nearly Half of U.S. Jobs Are Vulnerable to Computerization, Aviva Rutkin, 9/12/13.

Myth 3: Immigrants Are Superior at Starting Businesses
Commonly we hear that we need not worry about immigrants taking U.S. jobs because they excel at creating businesses which create new jobs for everyone. The basis of this myth is that some national groups of immigrants are more likely than natives to create businesses. But it ignores the reality that other groups are less likely to be entrepreneurs. Overall there is very little difference in the percentage of natives who are self-employed (11.1) and immigrants (11.4).

This slight edge in favor of immigrants, however, is mitigated in favor of natives by several factors. One is that natives have a higher rate of part-time self-employment, 1.7 percent, compared with 1 percent for immigrants. Another is that a higher percentage of native-owned businesses (19 percent) employ more than ten workers, compared with 16 percent for immigrant-owned firms. Also, immigrant-owned businesses tend to hire other immigrants, usually of their national background, rather than natives.

Immigrants do reasonably well in business, achieving at a level comparable to that of natives. But they are not the entrepreneurial supermen portrayed by immigration advocates. Source: Public use file of the 2015 Annual Social and Economic Supplement of the Current Population Survey. Figures are for employed persons 25 and older.

Myth 4: Immigrants Aren’t Allowed to Get Welfare
There are restrictions on immigrants getting welfare, but numerous loopholes keep them from having much effect. Immigrants aren’t supposed to become “public charges,” but this only applies to cash benefits, and this restriction is seldom if ever enforced. Immigrant-headed households use significantly more welfare (51 percent) than native-headed households (30 percent). Interestingly, immigrants have a slightly higher participation rate in the workforce than natives. The problem is that many working immigrants work at low-wage jobs, and their low salaries qualify them for welfare. Continuing mass immigration helps to keep those wages low. Source: Steven Camarota 2015, “Welfare Use by Immigrant and Native Households: An Analysis of Medicaid, Cash, Food, and Housing Programs,” Center for Immigration Studies; All Employment Growth Since 2000 Went to Immigrants, Center for Immigration studies Backgrounder, Karen Zeigler and Steve Camarota, June 2014.

Myth 5: Immigrants Are Natural Conservatives
This is a statement commonly made by some conservatives who believe that immigrants have a love for freedom, family values, and other characteristics that will incline them to support conservatism. Yet data show that Hispanics and Asians, groups with the largest numbers of immigrants and first generation citizens, strongly incline to liberal positions—particularly on government and economics. As a consequence, they favor Democrats by a margin of 2 to 1.

A key conservative issue is limiting the size of government. Forty-eight percent of the general public favor smaller government and fewer services, but only 19 percent of Hispanics and 36 percent of Asians share that view. Conversely, 41 percent of the general public want larger government and more services, compared with 75 percent of Hispanics and 55 percent of Asians. Hispanics have a strongly negative view of capitalism, with 55 percent expressing this view, compared with 40 percent of the general public.

Among the reasons for the leftist economic bent among immigrants is that many are from countries with that outlook. Also, many of them settle in liberal urban areas of the U.S., and that political climate tends to influence them. They also may embrace liberalism out of self-interest for welfare benefits and affirmative action.

On social issues there is no clear liberal or conservative disposition among immigrants. They are liberal on some issues and conservative on others. Many conservatives cite stronger anti-abortion sentiments among Hispanic immigrants than natives. That is true, but second generation Hispanics hold views on abortion comparable to those of native-born Americans. In any case, social issues are not a high priority for immigrants. Top issues for Hispanics are education, jobs, health care, and immigration. Immigrants are not natural conservatives. They much more naturally incline to liberalism, as their preference for the Democratic Party clearly shows. Source: Pew Research Center

Permanent link to this article: http://www.aicfoundation.com/media-myths-about-immigration/

Feb 15

Court Wrong about Terrorists

The federal court that blocked President Trump’s temporary travel ban seven countries claimed there was no evidence that people from them posed a threat of terrorism. But information compiled from a Senate subcommittee revealed that 72 individuals from those countries have been convicted of terrorist-related crimes since the 9/11 attacks.

Read more at cis.org.

Permanent link to this article: http://www.aicfoundation.com/court-wrong-about-terrorists/

Feb 14

Hungarian PM Offers Refuge to Europeans

Hungarian Prime Minister Viktor Orban said his country offers a haven to Europeans seeking to escape politically correct tyranny in their countries. Said Orban, “We shall let in true refugees: Germans, Dutch, French and Italians . . .  who here in Hungary want to find the Europe they have lost in their homelands.” Globalist politicians, he continued, are trying to “sweep away a democracy of debate and replace it with a democracy of [political] correctness”, where “true power, decisions and influence [are] not held by elected governments, but [by] unelected global networks, media gurus and international organizations.”

Read more at breitbart.com.

Permanent link to this article: http://www.aicfoundation.com/hungarian-pm-offers-refuge-to-europeans/

Feb 13

States Target Sanctuary Cities

Following the lead of President Trump’s stand against sanctuary cities, political leaders in several states are considering legal action against municipalities within their boundaries that have sanctuary policies. A sanctuary city is one that refuses to cooperate with federal immigration law enforcement to remove illegal aliens. The states are Texas, Colorado, Ohio, Maine, and Alaska.

Read more at washingtonexaminer.com.

Permanent link to this article: http://www.aicfoundation.com/states-target-sanctuary-cities/

Feb 13

ICE Raids Net Illegal Alien Criminals, Spark Protests

Amid howls of protest by Hispanic advocacy groups and left-wing politicians, agents of the federal Immigration and Customs Enforcement agency apprehended and detained hundreds of criminal illegal aliens last week and began to process them for deportation as part of Operation Cross Check.  But the operation still falls far short of capturing the hundreds of thousands of known criminal aliens still at large.

Cristina Jimenez, executive director of United We Dream was one of many Hispanic leaders who criticized efforts to expel criminal aliens.  “Our community has seen an increase of ICE activity where we have heard ICE agents are going to people’s homes and detaining people,” she said.

ICE said it conducted operations in several states and arrested 200 people, the majority of whom had criminal convictions. The agency said the arrests were part of a targeted operation that is routinely done by its fugitive operations team. During such operations the agency may also arrest other people who may have violated immigration laws, the agency said.

But ICE has much more work to do.  Every year, federal immigration authorities release into the U.S. population foreign nationals convicted of crimes — including murder — both because the U.S. Supreme Court has prohibited indefinite detention or because their home countries refuse to take them back even after immigration judges have ordered deportation.

At least 121 killings within a four-year span were carried out by convicted immigrants who were not deported, according to a 2015 U.S. Senate Judiciary Committee report.

“This disturbing fact follows ICE’s admission that, of the 36,007 criminal aliens it released from ICE custody in Fiscal Year 2013, 1,000 have been re-convicted of additional crimes in the short time since their release,” according to the report.

The Committee revealed that 121 immigrant convicts were charged with homicide following their release from ICE custody between 2010 and 2014. It also noted that in 2014, ICE released 2,457 immigrant convicts because of the Supreme Court ruling prohibiting detention of deportable foreign nationals beyond six months.

In a speech in Phoenix during the campaign, presidential candidate Donald Trump vowed to deport immigrant criminals regardless of whether their countries agreed to take them back.

“There are at least 23 countries that refuse to take their people back after they’ve been ordered to leave the United States,” Trump said. “Including large numbers of violent criminals. They won’t take them back. So we say, ‘Okay, we’ll keep them.’ Not going to happen with me, not going to happen with me.”

One possible way to convince foreign countries to  accept their native citizens after committing crimes in the U.S. would be to deny future visas to citizens from countries reluctant to take back deportable nationals.  But so far, President Trump has made no announcement of such a policy.

 

Permanent link to this article: http://www.aicfoundation.com/ice-raids-net-illegal-alien-criminals-spark-protests/

Feb 12

USA TODAY Gives Illegal Aliens Advice on ICE Raids

USA TODAY, one of the nation’s largest newspapers, Saturday published a helpful article for illegal aliens worried about the ICE arrests being carried out across the nation entitled: “What to do if immigration officers come knocking at your door.”  The article reproduces, in Spanish and English, material from pro-illegal groups, including the American Civil Liberties Union (ACLU), United We Dream, and the Immigrant Defense Project, offering legal advice to illegals if they are the subject of raids by Immigration and Customs Enforcement (ICE).  Advice such as: do not open the door, ask to see a warrant, remain silent and do not sign anything until you speak to a lawyer, do not give ICE your passport, etc.

In efforts to advance or to stop the alien invasion, there can be no doubt on which side the MSM labors:  http://www.usatoday.com/story/news/2017/02/11/immigration-raid-ice-immigration-and-customs-enforcement/97791700/

Permanent link to this article: http://www.aicfoundation.com/usa-today-gives-illegal-aliens-advice-on-ice-raids/

Feb 11

Enforcement of Immigration Law Resumes With Raids Across Nation

Illegal aliens realized the Obama era was over as U.S. immigration officers arrested hundreds of illegals in raids across the nation this week.  On Jan. 26, President Trump issued an executive order instructing agents to enforce the laws, reversing Obama orders preventing immigration agents from deporting most illegals.

The raids targeted known criminals, but also netted some illegals without criminal records, leading to howls of protest from alien rights activists and weepy news stories in the pro-alien media.

Source:  http://www.dallasnews.com/news/immigration/2017/02/10/trump-order-immigration-agents-raid-target-rich-communities-texas-elsewhere

Permanent link to this article: http://www.aicfoundation.com/enforcement-of-immigration-law-resumes-with-raids-across-nation/

Feb 11

Trump: I Won’t Let America’s Enemies Use Our Immigration System to Harm Us

President Trump, in his weekly radio address, maintained his determination to protect Americans from foreign enemies who seek to exploit a generous immigration and refugee system to insert terrorists into the United States:  “My administration is committed to your security … we will continue to fight to take all necessary and legal action to keep terrorists, radical and dangerous extremists from ever entering our country.  We will not allow our generous system of immigration to be turned against us as a tool for terrorism…. We must take firm steps today to ensure that we are safe tomorrow.”

The President told reporters Friday he was mulling a “brand new order” on immigration as his original executive order faces further delay on appeal: “We need speed for reasons of security…”

Source:  http://thehill.com/homenews/administration/319064-trump-immigration-cant-be-turned-against-us

Permanent link to this article: http://www.aicfoundation.com/trump-i-wont-let-americas-enemies-use-our-immigration-system-to-harm-us/

Feb 10

Kristol Says U.S. Workers Are ‘Lazy’

Bill Kristol, editor of the Weekly Standard, stated during a public discussion that “[I]f things are so bad . . . with the white working class, don’t you want to get new Americans in?” He said we should welcome immigrants as workers because native-born workers have become “decadent, lazy [and] spoiled.” Kristol is a leader of the neo-conservative movement which commonly speaks of behalf of the business interests which want an endless stream of cheap foreign labor. Before making his remarks, Kristol stated that he hoped “this thing isn’t being videotaped or else shown anywhere.”

Read more at dailycaller.com.

Permanent link to this article: http://www.aicfoundation.com/kristol-says-u-s-workers-are-lazy/

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